Al Faisaly vs Al Nassr 23 October 2026 Prediction

  Prediction by   Gevorg Danielyan     October 22, 2026 

Al Faisaly vs Al Nassr brings together two teams with different recent results. The hosts have mixed draws with a win and a loss, while the visitors have won three of their last five games. Their five head-to-head meetings have produced 23 goals.

Al Faisaly

Al Faisaly have one win, three draws and one loss in their last five games. They scored six goals and conceded seven, finding the net in four of those matches. Results have improved recently: after a 3-1 loss to Al Ittihad, they beat Al Kholood 3-2 and drew 2-2 with Al Shabab. Their home record is less convincing, with one win, two draws and one loss in four games and a 4-5 goal difference.

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Al Faisaly have scored slightly fewer goals than their chances suggest, producing 6.82 expected goals (xG) but scoring six times across their last five games. At the other end, they conceded seven goals from 6.05 expected goals against (xGA). Against Al Shabab, they took 11 shots and created five big chances, but allowed 17 shots. Al Nassr should have opportunities to attack.

Al Nassr

Al Nassr have won three of their last five games, with one draw and one loss. They scored eight goals and conceded six. Their wins came against NEOM (1-0), Neftchi (3-1) and Al Draih (3-0). Their only loss was a 4-0 defeat to Al Ain, followed by a 1-1 draw with Al Khaleej. The visitors have been more consistent overall, although their last two away games ended in a draw and a loss.

Al Nassr have the stronger season averages: 2.22 goals per game to Al Faisaly’s 1.11, 56.22% possession to 48.56%, and 7.89 corners to 2.44. They also concede 0.78 goals per game, compared with Al Faisaly’s 1.89. Still, their win over NEOM was close. Al Nassr managed seven shots to their opponent’s 17 and generated just 0.37 xG. Their better form does not guarantee control of this game.

Stats and Trends

Al Nassr have won three of the five head-to-head meetings, while Al Faisaly have won two. None ended in a draw. Those games averaged 4.6 goals, with Al Nassr holding a 12-11 edge overall. Both teams scored in three of the five meetings. Al Nassr have also scored in four of their last five games, while Al Faisaly have conceded in two of their last three at home.

Al Faisaly vs Al Nassr Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals

Al Faisaly can create chances at home, as their 18 shots and 2.99 xG in the win over Al Kholood showed. They have not always converted those chances, though, and they allow plenty of shots. Al Nassr arrive in better overall form, score more often and have the stronger defensive record. They scored seven goals across their three recent wins, but a 4-0 away loss makes a straight win less appealing. The better pick is over 2.5 goals at 1.40.