Al-Ittihad Jeddah vs Draih 23 October 2026 Prediction

  Prediction by   Gevorg Danielyan     October 22, 2026 

Al-Ittihad hosts Al-Draih after a 4-1 win over Al-Ettifaq. The visitors also won their last match, beating Al-Riyadh. Both teams have played five recent games, providing a useful basis for assessing their form.

Al-Ittihad

Al-Ittihad has two wins, one draw and two losses in its last five games. The 4-1 victory over Al-Ettifaq was its strongest attacking performance in that span: 19 shots, eight on target, six big chances and 2.76 expected goals (xG). Scoring four times exceeded the quality of the chances created, so that finishing rate may be difficult to repeat. The volume of chances was still encouraging.

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Before that win, Al-Ittihad lost 2-1 to Shabab Al Ahli and 3-2 to Al-Hilal, following a 1-1 draw and a 3-1 win over Al-Faisaly. It has scored 11 goals and conceded eight across the five games. Against Al-Hilal, it produced 1.21 xG and allowed 2.46 expected goals against (xGA), a much weaker chance differential than in its latest match. Its only home game in this stretch ended in a 2-1 loss. The case for the hosts rests more on their recent attacking display than on home form.

Al-Draih

Al-Draih has a steadier record of two wins, two draws and one loss. It has avoided defeat in four of its last five games but scored only four goals, including three in its wins over Al-Riyadh and Al-Fateh. Since a 3-0 loss to Al-Nassr, it has drawn 0-0 with Abha and 1-1 with Al-Taawoun before winning 1-0.

On the road, Al-Draih has one win, one draw and one loss, by scores of 2-1, 1-1 and 0-3. Its attack has often created little, recording xG figures of 0.95, 0.87 and 0.92 in three games. The figure rose to 2.27 against Al-Fateh, aided by two penalties. Al-Draih can keep games close, but its xGA has ranged from 1.41 to 2.29 in the available matches. That leaves it vulnerable against a stronger attack.

Stats and Trends

Al-Ittihad averages 2.0 goals per game, compared with 0.9 for Al-Draih. Their attacking activity is similar: Al-Ittihad averages 81.22 attacks and 39.56 dangerous attacks, while Al-Draih averages 82.5 and 44.7. The clearer difference is in finishing. Only one of Al-Ittihad’s last five games had fewer than three total goals; three of Al-Draih’s last five had no more than two. Al-Draih has kept several games low-scoring, but in the four matches with available data, it allowed at least 1.41 xGA each time.

Al-Ittihad vs Al-Draih Prediction: Al-Ittihad to Win

Al-Ittihad should create more quality chances. Its 4-1 win showed what it can do when it gets shots from dangerous areas, while Al-Draih has posted less than 1.0 xG in most of its recent games. A comfortable home win is less certain: Al-Ittihad has conceded in four of its last five matches, and Al-Draih has lost only once in that span. Still, the hosts have scored 11 goals over those five games to the visitors’ four. Our pick is Al-Ittihad to win at 2.00.