Augsburg vs Union 24 October 2026 Prediction

Augsburg started the season well but enters its match against Union Berlin on a four-game winless streak. The hosts have eight points from six Bundesliga games and sit in midtable. Union Berlin has five points and is second from the bottom. Can Augsburg end its winless run?

Winless Streak and Defensive Problems

Augsburg opened the season with two wins and a 2-2 draw against Bayer Leverkusen. It has since taken just one point from its last three matches, though that point came in a 2-2 home draw with Bayern Munich. Manuel Baum’s side then lost 4-3 to Elversberg after conceding three goals in the first 28 minutes. The teams finished level on shots on target, 8-8, while Augsburg had a slight edge in expected goals, 3.92 to 3.78. Those figures include two penalties for each team.

Augsburg has now gone four league games without a win despite scoring at least twice in each one. Its attack has been productive, but its defense remains a concern. Augsburg has allowed 18.42 expected goals against (xGA), by far the highest total in the Bundesliga. Injuries have also reduced Baum’s options. Banks is unavailable in defense, Breithaupt and Claude-Maurice are out in midfield, and the absences of Mounié and Sakar limit his attacking choices.

Defensive Improvement but Limited Attacking Output

Union Berlin has improved its results over the last two games, but it remains in the relegation zone after six rounds. A 1-0 win over Elversberg and a 0-0 draw with Borussia Dortmund followed a difficult start to the season.

Mauro Lustrinelli’s side kept clean sheets in both matches after conceding 17 goals in its first four Bundesliga games. Dortmund managed only two shots on target and 1.09 xG against Union. At the other end, Union failed to put a shot on target and generated just 0.80 xG. Scoring has been a season-long issue: Union has five goals from 6.52 xG in six league games.

Union is waiting for an update on Juranović ahead of the trip to Augsburg. The defender missed last week’s match against Dortmund and remains questionable. He started Union’s first three Bundesliga games and recorded two assists before his injury. Nsoki and Ilić are also unavailable.

Predicted Lineup for Augsburg vs Union Berlin

Augsburg (3-4-3): Dahmen; Matsima, Gouweleeuw, Brackelmann; Fellhauer, Massengo, Rieder, Behrens; Kade, Gregoritsch, Ibrahimović

Unavailable: Banks, Breithaupt, Claude-Maurice, Mounié, Sakar (injured); Suso (questionable)

Manager: Manuel Baum

Union Berlin (4-4-2): Rønnow; Haberer, Van den Bosch, Uduokhai, Rothe; Aebischer, Schäfer, Khedira, Burcu; Jeong, Skarke

Unavailable: Ilić, Markgraf, Nsoki (injured); Imeri, Juranović (questionable)

Manager: Mauro Lustrinelli

Referee: Robin Braun

In his last 15 Bundesliga matches, Braun has averaged 3.73 yellow cards and 21.73 fouls per game. He has also shown three red cards and awarded six penalties in that span.

Augsburg vs Union Berlin Prediction: Augsburg to Win

Main prediction: Augsburg has played well at home, beating Schalke 3-0 and drawing 2-2 with both Bayer Leverkusen and Bayern Munich. Union’s recent improvement came in two home games. On the road, it lost to Leverkusen and Bayern by a combined score of 11-0. The pick is Augsburg to win at 1.83.

Total goals prediction: Union kept clean sheets in its last two games, both at home, after conceding 17 goals in its first four league matches. Eleven of those goals came on the road. Augsburg has scored at least twice in every competitive match this season, but its league-high xGA suggests Union could also create chances. Over 3.5 goals at 2.50 is the additional pick.