Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands 6 October 2026 Prediction

Kazakhstan is missing most of its attacking options for this match. The Faroe Islands have adapted to their own injury problems and drawn all three of their games so far, giving the visitors a chance to take points in Astana.

Kazakhstan: Injuries and Suspensions Weaken the Squad

Kazakhstan sits bottom of the group at the halfway point. It opened with a 1-1 draw against the Faroe Islands, then lost 2-1 to both Slovakia and Moldova. Those matches came as the team adjusted to manager John van 't Schip, who took charge in August 2026. He has sought a better balance between defense and attack, but Kazakhstan has struggled in both areas.

The Faroe Islands scored once from 1.42 expected goals (xG) in the opening match. Slovakia and Moldova then scored four goals between them from a combined 2.25 xG. Kazakhstan also has fewer options going forward. Dastan Satpayev (one goal in eight international appearances), Maksim Samorodov (five in 33) and Islam Chesnokov (two in 24) are all missing this international window. Winger Galymzhan Kenzhebek (three goals in 17 appearances) is suspended after accumulating yellow cards, while Islambek Kuat (74 appearances) is injured. Kuat’s absence leaves a gap in defensive midfield; the other absences limit Kazakhstan’s attacking options.

Faroe Islands: Three Draws From Three Matches

The Faroe Islands have drawn 1-1 with Kazakhstan, Moldova and Slovakia. They entered this international window with a long injury list. Manager Eyðun Klakstein is without forward Páll Klettskarð (15 goals in 33 matches in the 2026 season), defensive midfielder Jákup Andreasen (35 international appearances), midfielder Hallur Hansson (five goals in 76 appearances) and forward Klæmint Olsen (10 goals in 64 appearances), among others.

Klakstein previously worked with the Faroe Islands’ youth team and has brought younger players into the senior squad. His side created 1.42 xG to Kazakhstan’s 0.39 in their first meeting but drew 1-1. Against Moldova, the Faroe Islands scored first despite coming under pressure. They also generated more xG than Slovakia, 0.98 to 0.66, despite entering as underdogs.

Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands Predicted Lineup

Kazakhstan (4-2-3-1): Zarutskiy – Mrynskiy, Erlanov, Alip, Vorogovskiy – Karaman, Orazov – Astanov, Islamkhan, Tuyakbayev – Karimov

Unavailable: Zaynutdinov, Kuat, Samorodov, Kasym, Chesnokov, Satpayev (injuries); Kenzhebek (suspension)

Manager: John van 't Schip

Faroe Islands (5-4-1): Lamhauge – Danielsen, Færø, Vatnhamar, Chukwudi, Agnarsson – Kalsberg, Turi, Bjartalíð, Sørensen – Knudsen

Unavailable: Edmundsson (suspension); Klettskarð, Hansson, Olsen, Andreasen, Mneney, Joensen, Johannesen (injuries); Frederiksberg (not selected)

Manager: Eyðun Klakstein

Referee: Kristo Tohver (Estonia)

Tohver officiated five competitive international matches in the 2025-26 season. He called an average of 21.4 fouls and showed 5.6 yellow cards per game. He also awarded two penalties and issued one red card.

Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands Prediction: Faroe Islands to Win at 3.18

Main pick: Kazakhstan is favored, but its attacking absences, Kuat’s injury and recent defensive record make that status difficult to justify. It conceded four goals from 2.25 expected goals against (xGA) across its last two games. Kazakhstan has also conceded first in all three group matches and has yet to win under its new manager. The Faroe Islands have continued to earn points despite their injuries and produced substantially more xG than Kazakhstan in the teams’ first meeting. The pick is Faroe Islands to win at 3.18.

Goals pick: Kazakhstan is short of attacking options, but it has scored in every Nations League match this season and averaged 1.37 goals across its last eight home games in all competitions. The Faroe Islands have also scored in all three group matches. Both teams to score: yes at 2.10.