Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Gharafa 26 October 2026 Prediction

  Prediction by   Gevorg Danielyan     October 25, 2026 

Al Ahli vs Al Gharafa takes place on October 26, 2026. Al Ahli has won four of its last five games, while Al Gharafa has won just one. Al Ahli is also unbeaten in the teams’ five head-to-head meetings.

Al Ahli has won four straight since a 2-1 loss, scoring 14 goals in that stretch. Those results include a 4-0 win over Al Fateh, a 3-1 win over Al Wasl, a 3-2 win over Al Fayha, and a 4-1 win over Al Khaleej. Across its last five games, Al Ahli has scored 15 goals and conceded six. Its only home game in that sample was the 4-1 win over Al Khaleej.

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Al Ahli’s finishing has exceeded the quality of its chances at times. Against Al Fateh, it scored four goals from 17 shots, six big chances, and 1.91 expected goals (xG). It scored four again in its most recent game despite generating just 0.66 xG, while its opponent produced 3.01 xG. Al Ahli is dangerous going forward, but it can give up chances even when it wins.

Al Gharafa has one win, two draws, and two losses in its last five games, with nine goals scored and nine conceded. It drew 2-2 with Al Ahli Doha in its latest game after a 0-0 draw with Al Rayyan. Those results ended a two-game losing streak, but its form remains weaker than Al Ahli’s. A 4-2 win over Al Mesaimeer was its only victory in this five-game stretch.

Al Gharafa can create chances. It took 25 shots, put 10 on target, and earned 13 corners against Al Ahli Doha. That activity has not consistently produced wins: against Al Wakrah, it recorded 26 shots and 75 dangerous attacks but lost 3-2. The teams’ listed averages have Al Gharafa scoring one goal and conceding two per game, compared with two scored and one conceded for Al Ahli. Al Gharafa’s only away game in the recent sample was the 3-2 loss to Al Wakrah.

Stats and Trends

Al Ahli has scored 12 goals to Al Gharafa’s six in their five head-to-head meetings. Al Ahli won twice, and the other three games ended in draws. Its two most recent wins were 4-0 and 4-2. Neither team has a clean sheet in the listed averages, and Al Ahli’s average of two goals scored per game matches Al Gharafa’s average of two conceded.

Al Ahli vs Al Gharafa Prediction: Al Ahli to Win

Al Ahli enters on a four-game winning streak with a better recent goal differential. It has won the last two meetings with Al Gharafa by multiple goals. Al Gharafa poses an attacking threat, but its shot totals have not translated into consistent results: it has won only once in five games and conceded nine goals.

The main pick is Al Ahli to win. Its recent form and unbeaten head-to-head record support the selection, though Al Gharafa is capable of creating chances of its own.