Granada vs Real Valladolid 23 October 2026 Prediction

  Prediction by   Gevorg Danielyan     October 21, 2026 

Granada has won three straight games and moved closer to the playoff places. Valladolid has also improved in attack, but it heads to Andalusia without two important players. Those absences could affect the matchup.

Granada's Attack Has Improved, but Defensive Issues Remain

Pacheta's team has won its last three games by a combined score of 6-2, climbing to seventh place with 17 points. Granada has scored 10 goals in its last five league games. Wide attacks played a key role in the 2-0 win over Cádiz and could be effective against Valladolid's narrow midfield.

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The recent clean sheets have not erased Granada's defensive concerns. Burgos took 23 shots, and Granada previously conceded three goals each against Leganés and Andorra. The hosts have allowed 13 goals in 10 league games. Márquez is injured, though Pascual has filled in effectively up front. Goalkeeper Lizoain is questionable, but Alberto Flores has performed well in the last two games.

Valladolid Will Be Without Two Important Attacking Players

Fran Escribá's team has scored 12 goals in its last four league games, including five against Albacete. Valladolid has also conceded 14 goals in 10 games. Last time out, it lost 3-2 to Eldense after allowing the winner in stoppage time. Valladolid has yet to win away from home this season.

Escribá will need to adjust his attack. Latasa is out with a knee injury, leaving Valladolid without a forward who can hold up the ball and compete in the air. Víctor Fernández is suspended after being sent off against Eldense, weakening the link between midfield and attack. Barberá scored after replacing Latasa, while Abed can play behind the forwards, but the new combination has had little time together.

Granada vs Real Valladolid Predicted Lineup

Granada (4-3-3): Alberto Flores; López, Juanjo Flores, Lama, Diallo; Alcaraz, Gumbau, Alemañ; Rodelas, Pascual, Arnáiz

Unavailable: Márquez (injury); Lizoain (questionable)

Manager: José Rojo Martín (Pacheta)

Real Valladolid (4-1-3-2): Aceves; Trilli, Torres, Tomeo, Garriel; Jurić; Ojeda, Ponceau, Abed; Arnu, Barberá

Unavailable: Latasa (injury), Víctor Fernández (suspension); Rubio and Chacón (both questionable)

Manager: Fran Escribá

Granada vs Real Valladolid Prediction: Granada to Win at 2.24

Main prediction: Granada's wide play could exploit the space left by Valladolid's narrow midfield. Latasa's injury and Víctor Fernández's suspension disrupt a team that has yet to win on the road. Granada still has defensive weaknesses, but its recent form and Valladolid's absences favor the hosts. Pick: Granada to win at 2.24. We estimate a 50% chance of success, making odds above 2.00 worth considering.

Goals prediction: Games involving either team have averaged 2.9 goals. Valladolid's last four games have each featured at least four goals, while Granada has scored 10 in its last five. Granada continues to allow chances, and Valladolid can still turn to Arnu and Barberá in attack. Pick: Over 2.5 goals at 2.03. We estimate a 55% chance of success, making odds above 1.82 worth considering.